Challenging claims in the study of migratory birds and climate change

dc.contributor.authorKnudsen, Endre
dc.contributor.authorLinden, Andreas
dc.contributor.authorBoth, Christiaan
dc.contributor.authorJonzen, Niclas
dc.contributor.authorPulido, Francisco
dc.contributor.authorSaino, Nicola
dc.contributor.authorSutherland, William J.
dc.contributor.authorBach, Lars A.
dc.contributor.authorCoppack, Timothy
dc.contributor.authorErgon, Torbjørn
dc.contributor.authorGienapp, Phillip
dc.contributor.authorGill, Jennifer A.
dc.contributor.authorGordo, Oscar
dc.contributor.authorHedenström, Anders
dc.contributor.authorLehikoinen, Esa
dc.contributor.authorMarra, Peter P.
dc.contributor.authorMøller, Anders P.
dc.contributor.authorNilsson, Anna L. K.
dc.contributor.authorPéron, Guillaume
dc.contributor.authorRanta, Esa
dc.contributor.authorRubolini, Diego
dc.contributor.authorSparks, Tim H.
dc.contributor.authorSpina, Fernando
dc.contributor.authorStudds, Colin E.
dc.contributor.authorSæther, Stein A.
dc.contributor.authorTryjanowski, Piotr
dc.contributor.authorStenseth, Nils Chr.
dc.date.accessioned2019-03-11T15:09:38Z
dc.date.available2019-03-11T15:09:38Z
dc.date.issued2011-04-13
dc.description.abstractRecent shifts in phenology in response to climate change are well established but often poorly understood. Many animals integrate climate change across a spatially and temporally dispersed annual life cycle, and effects are modulated by ecological interactions, evolutionary change and endogenous control mechanisms. Here we assess and discuss key statements emerging from the rapidly developing study of changing spring phenology in migratory birds. These well‐studied organisms have been instrumental for understanding climate‐change effects, but research is developing rapidly and there is a need to attack the big issues rather than risking affirmative science. Although we agree poorly on the support for most claims, agreement regarding the knowledge basis enables consensus regarding broad patterns and likely causes. Empirical data needed for disentangling mechanisms are still scarce, and consequences at a population level and on community composition remain unclear. With increasing knowledge, the overall support (‘consensus view’) for a claim increased and between‐researcher variability in support (‘expert opinions') decreased, indicating the importance of assessing and communicating the knowledge basis. A proper integration across biological disciplines seems essential for the field's transition from affirming patterns to understanding mechanisms and making robust predictions regarding future consequences of shifting phenologies.en_US
dc.description.sponsorshipE.K., A.L., N.J., L.B., T.E., N.C.S. and two meetings were partially funded by NordForsk through the Nordic Centre of Excellence EcoClim. We thank collaborators and field workers inside and outside academia for thought‐provoking long‐term data and discussions, and the reviewers for comments and suggestions that helped improve the manuscript.en_US
dc.description.urihttps://onlinelibrary.wiley.com/doi/epdf/10.1111/j.1469-185X.2011.00179.xen_US
dc.format.extent19 pagesen_US
dc.genrejournal articlesen_US
dc.identifierdoi:10.13016/m2gizw-kt2o
dc.identifier.citationEndre Knudsen Andreas Lindén Christiaan Both, et.al, Challenging claims in the study of migratory birds and climate change, Biological Reviews, Volume 86, Issue4 November 2011, Pages 928-946, https://doi.org/10.1111/j.1469-185X.2011.00179.xen_US
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1111/j.1469-185X.2011.00179.x
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11603/13007
dc.language.isoen_USen_US
dc.publisherCambridge Philosophical Societyen_US
dc.relation.isAvailableAtThe University of Maryland, Baltimore County (UMBC)
dc.relation.ispartofUMBC Geography and Environmental Systems Department
dc.rightsThis item is likely protected under Title 17 of the U.S. Copyright Law. Unless on a Creative Commons license, for uses protected by Copyright Law, contact the copyright holder or the author.*
dc.rightsThis work was written as part of one of the author's official duties as an Employee of the United States Government and is therefore a work of the United States Government. In accordance with 17 U.S.C. 105, no copyright protection is available for such works under U.S. Law.*
dc.rightsPublic Domain Mark 1.0
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/mark/1.0/*
dc.subjectbird migrationen_US
dc.subjectclimate changeen_US
dc.subjectphenologyen_US
dc.subjectannual life cycleen_US
dc.subjectmatch‐mismatchen_US
dc.subjectendogenous controlen_US
dc.subjectphenotypic plasticityen_US
dc.subjectmicroevolutionary changeen_US
dc.subjectpopulation trendsen_US
dc.subjectintegrative biologyen_US
dc.titleChallenging claims in the study of migratory birds and climate changeen_US
dc.typeTexten_US

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