"I couldn't have seen it coming": The impact of negative self-relevant outcomes on retrospections about foreseeability

dc.contributor.authorMark, Melvin M.
dc.contributor.authorBoburka, Renee Reiter
dc.contributor.authorEyssell, Kristen M.
dc.contributor.authorCohen, Laurie L.
dc.contributor.authorMellor, Steven
dc.date.accessioned2017-06-09T18:42:42Z
dc.date.available2017-06-09T18:42:42Z
dc.date.issued2003
dc.description.abstractWe examined a phenomenon related to hindsight bias, specifically, retrospective judgements about the foreseeability of an outcome. We predicted that negative, self-relevant outcomes would be judged as less foreseeable by the recipient of the outcome than by others, unlike either positive outcomes or outcomes that are not self-relevant. In the context of a "stock market decision-making game", the hypothetical stock selected by one of two players showed an extreme increase or decrease. As predicted, the player who received an extreme negative outcome reported that this outcome was less foreseeable than did the opponent and an observer, for whom the outcome was less self-relevant. For no other kind of outcome was there a difference between the recipient of an outcome, the opponent, and the observer. The findings have several implications, including the possibility that hindsight bias should be considered as a special case of retrospective foreseeability.en_US
dc.description.urihttp://eds.a.ebscohost.com/ehost/detail/detail?sid=b9e92df8-04c3-400a-a058-41e3ced6622a%40sessionmgr4008&vid=0&hid=4108&bdata=JnNpdGU9ZWhvc3QtbGl2ZSZzY29wZT1zaXRl#AN=10291693&db=a9hen_US
dc.format.extent13 pagesen_US
dc.genrejournal articlesen_US
dc.identifierdoi:10.13016/M2RP1R
dc.identifier.citationMark, M. M., Boburka, R. R., Eyssell, K. M., Cohen, L. L., & Mellor, S. (January 01, 2003). "I couldn't have seen it coming": the impact of negative self-relevant outcomes on retrospections about foreseeability. Memory (hove, England), 11.en_US
dc.identifier.issn0965-8211
dc.identifier.uri10.1080/09658210244000522
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11603/4019
dc.language.isoen_USen_US
dc.publisherTaylor & Francis Ltden_US
dc.relation.isAvailableAtUniversity of Baltimore
dc.title"I couldn't have seen it coming": The impact of negative self-relevant outcomes on retrospections about foreseeabilityen_US
dc.typeTexten_US

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