Hassan, TarekMirabal, NestorContreras, Jose Luisthe CTA Consortium2020-09-032020-09-032012-06-20T. Hassan, N. Mirabal and J.L. Contreras, AGN Forecasting, AGN Physics in the CTA Era (AGN 2011) - Session 3 : AGN population studies and expected CTA performances, Volume 141, DOI: https://doi.org/10.22323/1.141.0024https://doi.org/10.22323/1.141.0024http://hdl.handle.net/11603/19579AGN Physics in the CTA Era - AGN2011, May 16-17, 2011, Toulouse, FranceThe First Fermi-LAT catalog (1FGL) represents the most complete list of sources in the GeV sky to date. We use the reported 1FGL spectral parameters to extrapolate Fermi AGN spectra to the very-high energy (VHE) range (15 GeV – 300 TeV). The extrapolated VHE spectra are then attenuated using current estimations of the extragalactic background light (EBL) absorption as a function of redshift. Using the expected effective areas and background rates of the Cherenkov Telescope Array (CTA) from Monte Carlo simulations, we make a first order prediction of the AGN population accessible to CTA in the VHE sky. We find that CTA should easily triple the AGN detection rate of current ground-based Cherenkov telescopes. In addition, CTA should allow unprecedented access to high-redshift blazars out to z ≈ 2, and hence will start to reveal the EBL shape with gamma-ray observations.6 pagesen-USThis item is likely protected under Title 17 of the U.S. Copyright Law. Unless on a Creative Commons license, for uses protected by Copyright Law, contact the copyright holder or the author.Attribution-NonCommercial-ShareAlike 1.0 Generichttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by-nc-sa/1.0/AGN ForecastingText