Improving schedule reliability based on copulas: An application to five of the most congested US airports

Author/Creator

Date

2011-04-01

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Program

Citation of Original Publication

Diana, Tony; Improving schedule reliability based on copulas: An application to five of the most congested US airports; Journal of Air Transport Management, Volume 17, Issue 5, Pages 284-287, 1 April, 2011; https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jairtraman.2011.03.003

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Public Domain Mark 1.0
This work was written as part of one of the author's official duties as an Employee of the United States Government and is therefore a work of the United States Government. In accordance with 17 U.S.C. 105, no copyright protection is available for such works under U.S. Law

Subjects

Abstract

This study, based Newark Liberty International, New York John F. Kennedy, New York LaGuardia, Chicago O’Hare International and San Francisco International in the US, provides a perspective on the predictability of on-time performance evaluation by applying an actuarial and financial method called copula. It is common for the percentage of on-time gate arrivals to be portrayed in daily news as an indicator of schedule reliability. However, the degree of interdependency between gate arrival delays and block delays may provide some indication of schedule reliability.