Climatic drivers of continental-scale bird migration in spring

Abstract

Avian migration studies conventionally divide North America into three or four primary flyways.This strategy has been adopted for convenience or determined by the time-averaged movement patterns, so it may not adequately reflect the real temporal variability of bird migration phenology. Using a unique radar-based data set (NEXRAD) covering the contiguous U.S. (CONUS), and an objective regionalization approach, we have identified two regions with distinct interannual variability of spring migration. This two-region approach helped us to distinguish the climatic drivers of year-to-year variability specific to the western and eastern CONUS. For example, we identified an east-west dipole pattern in migratory behavior linked to atmospheric Rossby waves that appeared to be triggered by oceanic forcing in the tropical Pacific. Our results offer a new geographic framework that would facilitate exploring the climatic cues affecting the interannual variability of migration phenology at the continental scale.