Can machines learn how to forecast taxi-out time? A comparison of predictive models applied to the case of Seattle/Tacoma International Airport

dc.contributor.authorDiana, Tony
dc.date.accessioned2021-09-09T17:16:30Z
dc.date.available2021-09-09T17:16:30Z
dc.date.issued2018-10-15
dc.description.abstractThis study compares the performance of ensemble machine learning, ordinary least-squared and penalized algorithms to predict taxi-out time at two different periods of NextGen capability implementation. In the pre-sample, ordinary least-squared and ridge models performed better than other ensemble learning models. However, the gradient boosting model provided the lowest root mean squared errors in the post-sample. No algorithm fits data better in all cases. This paper recommends selecting the model that provides the best balance between bias and variance.en
dc.description.urihttps://www.sciencedirect.com/science/article/pii/S136655451830543X#!en
dc.format.extent16 pagesen
dc.genrejournal articlesen
dc.identifierdoi:10.13016/m2fyqd-rvov
dc.identifier.citationDiana, Tony; Can machines learn how to forecast taxi-out time? A comparison of predictive models applied to the case of Seattle/Tacoma International Airport; Transportation Research Part E: Logistics and Transportation Review, Volume 119, Pages 149-164, 15 October, 2018; https://doi.org/10.1016/j.tre.2018.10.003en
dc.identifier.urihttps://doi.org/10.1016/j.tre.2018.10.003
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11603/22980
dc.language.isoenen
dc.publisherElsevieren
dc.relation.isAvailableAtThe University of Maryland, Baltimore County (UMBC)
dc.relation.ispartofUMBC Data Science Collection
dc.rightsPublic Domain Mark 1.0*
dc.rightsThis work was written as part of one of the author's official duties as an Employee of the United States Government and is therefore a work of the United States Government. In accordance with 17 U.S.C. 105, no copyright protection is available for such works under U.S. Law
dc.rightsThis item is likely protected under Title 17 of the U.S. Copyright Law. Unless on a Creative Commons license, for uses protected by Copyright Law, contact the copyright holder or the author.en
dc.rights.urihttp://creativecommons.org/publicdomain/mark/1.0/*
dc.titleCan machines learn how to forecast taxi-out time? A comparison of predictive models applied to the case of Seattle/Tacoma International Airporten
dc.typeTexten
dcterms.creatorhttps://orcid.org/0000-0002-6692-1131en

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