An active learning Kriging-assisted method for reliability-based design optimization under distributional probability-box model

Abstract

Due to lack of sufficient data and information in engineering practice, it is often difficult to obtain precise probability distributions of some uncertain variables and parameters in reliability-based design optimization (RBDO). In this paper, distributional probability-box (p-box) model is employed to quantify these uncertain variables and parameters. To reduce the computational cost in RBDO associated with expensive and time-consuming constraints, an active learning Kriging-assisted method is proposed. In this method, the sequential optimization and reliability assessment (SORA) method is extended for RBDO under distributional p-box model. Kriging metamodels are constructed to make the replacement of actual constraints. To remove unnecessary computational expense on constructing Kriging metamodels, a screening criterion is built and employed for the judgment of active constraints in RBDO. Then, an active learning function is defined to find out update samples, which are adopted for sequentially refining Kriging metamodel of each active constraint by focusing on its limit-state surface (LSS) around the most probable target point (MPTP) at the solution of SORA. Several examples, including a welded beam problem and a piezoelectric energy harvester design, are provided to test the accuracy and efficiency of the proposed active learning Kriging-assisted method.