EXPLORING THE ACCURACY OF AN OPTIMIZATION-FREE NEURAL NETWORK FORECASTING MODEL IN MATHEMATICAL EPIDEMIOLOGY: A CASE STUDY IN TÜRKİYE

dc.contributor.authorAhmad, Muhammad Jalil
dc.contributor.authorGünel, Korhan
dc.date.accessioned2023-06-12T14:03:59Z
dc.date.available2023-06-12T14:03:59Z
dc.date.issued2023-04-30
dc.description.abstractIn this study, we explore the use of mathematical epidemiology models in predicting COVID-19 cases in Turkey. Our approach employs a Feed-Forward Neural Network solver, which is designed to quickly converge and make accurate predictions. To eliminate the need for time-intensive optimization procedures, the network weights are calculated using the Extreme Learning Machine algorithm, ensuring adherence to the initial conditions set by the epidemiology models. We examine the performance of both the Susceptible-Infected (SI) and Susceptible-Infected-Susceptible (SIS) models using this approach and evaluate their accuracy.en_US
dc.description.sponsorshipThis study is funded by Aydın Adnan Menderes University Scientific Research Projects (BAP) with the grant number ADÜ-FEF-22026. The authors would like to acknowledge the support provided by BAP commission and staff.en_US
dc.description.urihttp://jomardpublishing.com/UploadFiles/Files/journals/JTME/V8N1/Ahmad_Cunel.pdfen_US
dc.format.extent9 pagesen_US
dc.genrejournal articlesen_US
dc.identifierdoi:10.13016/m2zs74-keju
dc.identifier.citationAhmad, Muhammad Jalil and Korhan G¨unel. "EXPLORING THE ACCURACY OF AN OPTIMIZATION-FREE NEURAL NETWORK FORECASTING MODEL IN MATHEMATICAL EPIDEMIOLOGY: A CASE STUDY IN TURK˙IYE." Journal of Modern Technology and Engineering 8, no.1 (30 April 2023): 63-71. http://jomardpublishing.com/UploadFiles/Files/journals/JTME/V8N1/Ahmad_Cunel.pdf.en_US
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11603/28159
dc.language.isoen_USen_US
dc.publisherJomard Publishingen_US
dc.relation.isAvailableAtThe University of Maryland, Baltimore County (UMBC)
dc.relation.ispartofUMBC Mathematics Department Collection
dc.relation.ispartofUMBC Student Collection
dc.rightsThis item is likely protected under Title 17 of the U.S. Copyright Law. Unless on a Creative Commons license, for uses protected by Copyright Law, contact the copyright holder or the author.en_US
dc.rightsAttribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0)*
dc.rights.urihttps://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/*
dc.titleEXPLORING THE ACCURACY OF AN OPTIMIZATION-FREE NEURAL NETWORK FORECASTING MODEL IN MATHEMATICAL EPIDEMIOLOGY: A CASE STUDY IN TÜRKİYEen_US
dc.typeTexten_US
dcterms.creatorhttps://orcid.org/0000-0003-1694-3567en_US

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