UMBC Geography and Environmental Systems Department

Permanent URI for this collectionhttp://hdl.handle.net/11603/39

A hallmark of the Department of Geography & Environmental Systems is its broadly integrative nature, drawing on the expertise of faculty with diverse backgrounds but with a common mission. Research interests among current regular departmental faculty span a broad range of topics in earth systems science, ecosystem science, human geography and urban geography, and human dimensions of global change, with application of geospatial technology to research questions across all areas of interest. Despite the diversity of research and teaching interests, there is a common focus on the importance of coupled natural and human systems and on landscape pattern in relation to human activities and their environmental consequences, and we see this as a broad programmatic thrust for our graduate degree offerings. Research based in the Department of Geography and Environmental Systems involves interdisciplinary collaborative work of local, regional and international scope.

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THE ROLE OF DISASTER SUBCULTURES IN LOCAL BUSINESS COMMUNITY PREPAREDNESS: A CASE STUDY OF STAKEHOLDERS IN COASTAL MONMOUTH COUNTY, NEW JERSEY
(MSAAG, 2024) Howell, Nyla; Leichenko, R.; Clemens, M.; Cann, K.; Madajewicz, M.; Solecki, W.; Kaplan, M.; Herb, J.
Extreme weather events are increasingly affecting coastal communities, often leading to economic and social disruption within these areas. The businesses located within coastal communities are especially vulnerable to climate-related shocks, yet relatively little is known about how the experience of prior disaster events affects business preparedness and planning for future extreme events. This study applies the concept of a disaster subculture to investigate whether and how prior extreme events affect climate resilience practices among small and mediumsized businesses in coastal New Jersey. The methods for the study entailed qualitative analysis of interviews conducted with businesses and related stakeholders during the Spring of 2022. The results of the study indicate that elements of four possible disaster subcultures are present in the region and that these subcultures are influencing business mitigation and preparedness practices and community recovery. A future research direction could consider disaster subculture influence on an individual level and how subcultures may influence household preparedness.
Soil Methane and Carbon Dioxide Fluxes from Cropland and Riparian Buffers in Different Hydrogeomorphic Settings
(Wiley, 2015-07-01) Jacinthe, P. A.; Vidon, P.; Fisher, K.; Liu, X.; Baker, Matthew
Riparian buffers contribute to the mitigation of nutrient pollution in agricultural landscapes, but there is concern regarding their potential to be hot spots of greenhouse gas production. This study compared soil CO₂ and CH₄ fluxes in adjacent crop fields and riparian buffers (a flood-prone forest and a flood-protected grassland along an incised channel) and examined the impact of water table depth (WTD) and flood events on the variability of gas fluxes in riparian zones. Results showed significantly (P < 0.001) higher CO₂ emission in riparian areas than in adjoining croplands (6.8 ± 0.6 vs. 3.6 ± 0.5 Mg CO₂–C ha⁻¹ yr⁻¹; mean ± SE). Daily flux of CO₂ and soil temperature were significantly related (P < 0.002), with Q₁₀ values ranging between 1.75 and 2.53. Significant relationships (P < 0.05) were found between CH₄ daily flux and WTD. Flood events resulted in enhanced CH₄ emission (up to +44.5 mg CH₄–C m⁻² d⁻¹ in a swale) under warm soil conditions (>22°C), but the effect of flooding was less pronounced in early spring (emission <1.06 mg CH₄–C m⁻² d⁻¹), probably due to low soil temperature. Although CH₄ flux direction alternated at all sites, overall the croplands and the flood-affected riparian forest were CH₄ sources, with annual emission averaging +0.04 ± 0.17 and +0.92 ± 1.6 kg CH₄–C ha⁻¹, respectively. In the riparian forest, a topographic depression (<8% of the total area) accounted for 78% of the annual CH₄ emission, underscoring the significance of landscape heterogeneity on CH₄ dynamics in riparian buffers. The nonflooded riparian grassland, however, was a net CH₄ sink (−1.08 ± 0.22 kg CH₄–C ha⁻¹ yr⁻¹), probably due to the presence of subsurface tile drains and a dredged/incised channel at that study site. Although these hydrological alterations may have contributed to improvement in the CH₄ sink strength of the riparian grassland, this must be weighed against the water quality maintenance functions and other ecological services provided by riparian buffers.
First results and on-orbit performance of the Hyper-Angular Rainbow Polarimeter (HARP2) on the PACE satellite
(SPIE, 2024-11-20) Martins, J. Vanderlei; Fernandez-Borda, Roberto; Puthukkudy, Anin; Xu, Xiaoguang; Sienkiewicz, Noah; Smith, Rachel; McBride, Brent; Dubovik, Oleg; Remer, Lorraine
The Hyper-Angular Rainbow Polarimeter-2 (HARP2) was launched on board the Plankton, Aerosol, Cloud and ocean Ecosystem (PACE) mission, in February 2024, for the global measurement of aerosol and cloud properties as well as to provide atmospheric correction over the footprint of the Ocean Color Instrument (OCI). HARP2 is designed to collect data over a wide field of view in the cross-track direction (+/-47deg) allowing for global coverage in about two days, as well as an even wider field of view in the along-track direction (+/-54deg) providing measurements over a wide range of scattering angles. HARP2 samples 10 angles at 440, 550, and 870nm focusing on aerosol and surface retrievals, and up to 60 angles at 670nm for the hyper-angular retrieval of cloud microphysical properties. The HARP2 instrument collects three nearly identical images with linear polarizers aligned at 0°, 45°, and 90° that can be converted to push-broom images of the I, Q, and U Stokes parameters for each angle, and each wavelength. The HARP2 technology was first demonstrated with the HARP CubeSat satellite which collected a limited dataset for 2 years from 2020 to 2022. HARP2 extends these measurements to a full global coverage in two days, seven days a week.
Tree plantations and forest regrowth are linked to poverty reduction in Africa
(Nature, 2024-11-20) den Braber, Bowy; Hall, Charlotte M.; Rhemtulla, Jeanine M.; Fagan, Matthew E.; Rasmusssen, Laura Vang
Numerous countries have adopted large-scale tree planting programs as a climate mitigation strategy and to improve local livelihoods. However, it remains poorly documented how the surge in tree plantations has altered local livelihoods. Here, we assess whether tropical tree plantation expansion and forest regrowth across 18 African countries are associated with local people’s living standards. By combining a recent map that distinguishes tree plantations from regrowth from 2000 to 2012 with multidimensional poverty measures from more than 200,000 households, we find a positive association between people's living standards and areas where tree plantations have expanded or, to a lesser extent, forest regrowth has occurred. Because tree plantations make up a large proportion of recent increases in tropical tree cover – and controversy remains about their potential impacts on both biodiversity and local people – our study provides broad empirical support for the idea that tree plantations and forest regrowth can be linked with reduced poverty in the short term.
Ecological resistance in urban streams: the role of natural and legacy attributes
(University of Chicago Press, 2016-03) Utz, Ryan M.; Hopkins, Kristina G.; Beesley, Leah; Booth, Derek B.; Hawley, Robert J.; Baker, Matthew; Freeman, Mary C.; L. Jones, Krista
Urbanization substantially changes the physicochemical and biological characteristics of streams. The trajectory of negative effect is broadly similar around the world, but the nature and magnitude of ecological responses to urban growth differ among locations. Some heterogeneity in response arises from differences in the level of urban development and attributes of urban water management. However, the heterogeneity also may arise from variation in hydrologic, biological, and physicochemical templates that shaped stream ecosystems before urban development. We present a framework to develop hypotheses that predict how natural watershed and channel attributes in the pre-urban-development state may confer ecological resistance to urbanization. We present 6 testable hypotheses that explore the expression of such attributes under our framework: 1) greater water storage capacity mitigates hydrologic regime shifts, 2) coarse substrates and a balance between erosive forces and sediment supply buffer morphological changes, 3) naturally high ionic concentrations and pH pre-adapt biota to water-quality stress, 4) metapopulation connectivity results in retention of species richness, 5) high functional redundancy buffers trophic function from species loss, and 6) landuse history mutes or reverses the expected trajectory of eutrophication. Data from past comparative analyses support these hypotheses, but rigorous testing will require targeted investigations that account for confounding or interacting factors, such as diversity in urban infrastructure attributes. Improved understanding of the susceptibility or resistance of stream ecosystems could substantially strengthen conservation, management, and monitoring efforts in urban streams. We hope that these preliminary, conceptual hypotheses will encourage others to explore these ideas further and generate additional explanations for the heterogeneity observed in urban streams.
What is the Point? Evaluating the Structure, Color, and Semantic Traits of Computer Vision Point Clouds of Vegetation
(MDPI, 2017-04-09) Dandois, Jonathan P.; Baker, Matthew; Olano, Marc; Parker, Geoffrey G.; Ellis, Erle C.
Remote sensing of the structural and spectral traits of vegetation is being transformed by structure from motion (SFM) algorithms that combine overlapping images to produce three-dimensional (3D) red-green-blue (RGB) point clouds. However, much remains unknown about how these point clouds are used to observe vegetation, limiting the understanding of the results and future applications. Here, we examine the content and quality of SFM point cloud 3D-RGB fusion observations. An SFM algorithm using the Scale Invariant Feature Transform (SIFT) feature detector was applied to create the 3D-RGB point clouds of a single tree and forest patches. The fusion quality was evaluated using targets placed within the tree and was compared to fusion measurements from terrestrial LIDAR (TLS). K-means clustering and manual classification were used to evaluate the semantic content of SIFT features. When targets were fully visible in the images, SFM assigned color in the correct place with a high accuracy (93%). The accuracy was lower when targets were shadowed or obscured (29%). Clustering and classification revealed that the SIFT features highlighted areas that were brighter or darker than their surroundings, showing little correspondence with canopy objects like leaves or branches, though the features showed some relationship to landscape context (e.g., canopy, pavement). Therefore, the results suggest that feature detectors play a critical role in determining how vegetation is sampled by SFM. Future research should consider developing feature detectors that are optimized for vegetation mapping, including extracting elements like leaves and flowers. Features should be considered the fundamental unit of SFM mapping, like the pixel in optical imaging and the laser pulse of LIDAR. Under optimal conditions, SFM fusion accuracy exceeded that of TLS, and the two systems produced similar representations of the overall tree shape. SFM is the lower-cost solution for obtaining accurate 3D-RGB fusion measurements of the outer surfaces of vegetation, the critical zone of interaction between vegetation, light, and the atmosphere from leaf to canopy scales.
Channel response to sediment release: insights from a paired analysis of dam removal
(Wiley, 2017-01-13) Collins, Mathias J.; Snyder, Noah P.; Boardman, Graham; Banks, William S.L.; Andrews, Mary; Baker, Matthew; Conlon, Maricate; Gellis, Allen; McClain, Serena; Miller, Andrew; Wilcock, Peter
Dam removals with unmanaged sediment releases are good opportunities to learn about channel response to abruptly increased bed material supply. Understanding these events is important because they affect aquatic habitats and human uses of floodplains. A longstanding paradigm in geomorphology holds that response rates to landscape disturbance exponentially decay through time. However, a previous study of the Merrimack Village Dam (MVD) removal on the Souhegan River in New Hampshire, USA, showed that an exponential function poorly described the early geomorphic response. Erosion of impounded sediments there was two-phased. We had an opportunity to quantitatively test the two-phase response model proposed for MVD by extending the record there and comparing it with data from the Simkins Dam removal on the Patapsco River in Maryland, USA. The watershed sizes are the same order of magnitude (10² km²), and at both sites low-head dams were removed (~3–4 m) and ~65 000 m³ of sand-sized sediments were discharged to low-gradient reaches. Analyzing four years of repeat morphometry and sediment surveys at the Simkins site, as well as continuous discharge and turbidity data, we observed the two-phase erosion response described for MVD. In the early phase, approximately 50% of the impounded sediment at Simkins was eroded rapidly during modest flows. After incision to base level and widening, a second phase began when further erosion depended on floods large enough to go over bank and access impounded sediments more distant from the newly-formed channel. Fitting functional forms to the data for both sites, we found that two-phase exponential models with changing decay constants fit the erosion data better than single-phase models. Valley width influences the two-phase erosion responses upstream, but downstream responses appear more closely related to local gradient, sediment re-supply from the upstream impoundments, and base flows. Copyright © 2017 John Wiley & Sons, Ltd.
Scope#10: Methodology for developing high-resolution stream and waterbody datasets for the Chesapeake Bay watershed
(2018-10) Baker, Matthew; Saavedra, David; Norton, Michael
Thresholds in forest bird communities along woody vegetation gradients in the South American Dry Chaco
(Wiley, 2019-02-11) Macchi, Leandro; Baumann, Matthias; Bluhm, Hendrik; Baker, Matthew; Levers, Christian; Grau, Héctor Ricardo; Kuemmerle, Tobias
World-wide, tropical savannas and dry forests are under increasing pressure from land use. The environmental impacts of agricultural expansion into these ecosystems have received much attention, yet subtler changes in natural vegetation remain severely understudied. We explored how bird communities vary along gradients of woody vegetation in the South American Dry Chaco by combining high-resolution, satellite-based tree, shrub and total woody cover with field data on the frequency of 82 bird species surveyed in 167 plots. We identified change points along woody cover gradients where the relative frequency of individual bird species dropped most strongly. Based on this, we identified forest indicator species and assessed evidence for community-level thresholds. Most forest birds (71%) had clear change points in their frequencies along vegetation gradients, starting as high as 38% total woody cover. Many (41%) forest species declined drastically at woody cover levels of less than 11%. This general pattern was similar for tree and shrub cover. Only 7% of our study area had woody cover levels where we detected no response in forest bird communities. In contrast, 68% of the area had woody cover levels with incremental declines in forest bird species, and 25% of the study area had woody cover levels below the forest bird community threshold. We identified 11 indicator species strongly related to woody cover, with highest frequencies in the eastern and western Dry Chaco. Spatial distributions of these species corresponded well with areas above and below woody vegetation thresholds. Synthesis and applications. We found evidence for critical thresholds for forest birds along woody cover gradients in dry forests and implemented tools to map where these thresholds have been crossed. For the Chaco, we highlight the importance of maintaining woody cover levels above about 40%, such as in certain silvopastoral systems that can be much more wildlife-friendly than other forms of agriculture. We identify remaining areas of potentially intact forest bird communities. More broadly, this study highlights the value of combining species-level (indicator species' distributions) and ecosystem-level (satellite-based, continuous woody cover maps) surrogates for understanding biodiversity patterns and threats.
The capacity of urban forest patches to infiltrate stormwater is influenced by soil physical properties and soil moisture
(Elsevier, 2019-09-15) Phillips, Tuana H.; Baker, Matthew; Lautar, Katie; Yesilonis, Ian; Pavao-Zuckerman, Mitchell A.
Forest patches in developed landscapes perform ecohydrological functions that can reduce urban stormwater flows. However, urban forest patch contributions to runoff mitigation are not well understood due to a lack of performance data. In this study, we focus on the potential of urban forest patch soils to infiltrate rainfall by characterizing rates of unsaturated hydraulic conductivity (K) in 21 forest patches in Baltimore, Maryland. Soil bulk density, organic matter, soil moisture, percent of coarse fragments (≥2 mm), and texture were evaluated at the same locations to assess drivers of K. The K was significantly higher in soils with high sand content and related positively with the percent of coarse fragment material in the soil. Forest patch size did not impact K. We estimate that 68 percent of historic rainfall could be infiltrated by urban forest patch soils at the measured K rates. Continuous monitoring at one forest patch also showed that K is dynamic in time and influenced by antecedent soil moisture conditions. We conservatively estimate that unsaturated urban forest patch soils alone are capable of infiltrating most rain events of low to moderate intensities that fell within these forest patches in the Baltimore region. Considering this ecohydrologic function, the protection and expansion of forest patches can make substantial contributions to stormwater mitigation.
An Introduction to TITAN2
(2023-11-14) Baker, Matthew; King, Ryan; Kahle, David
The purpose of this vignette is to walk users through the basic functionality of the package TITAN2 for analysis of taxon-specific contributions to community change along an environmental gradient. The Everglades data for this vignette was described in Baker and King (2010) first published by King and Richardson (2003).
Mercury dynamics in groundwater across three distinct riparian zone types of the US Midwest
(Royal Society of Chemistry, 2013-10-04) G. Vidon, Philippe; J. Mitchell, Carl P.; Jacinthe, Pierre-André; Baker, Matthew; Liu, Xiaoqiang; R. Fisher, Katelin
Although the intense biogeochemical gradients present in riparian zones have the potential to affect mercury (Hg) cycling, Hg dynamics in riparian zones has received relatively little attention in the literature. Our study investigated groundwater filtered total mercury (THg) and methylmercury (MeHg) dynamics in three riparian zones with contrasting hydrogeomorphic (HGM) characteristics (till, alluvium, outwash) in the US Midwest. Despite high Hg deposition rates (>16 μg m⁻²) in the region, median THg (<1.05 ng L⁻¹) and MeHg (<0.05 ng L⁻¹) concentrations were low at the study sites. Methylmercury concentrations were significantly (p < 0.05) correlated to THg (R = 0.82), temperature (R = 0.55), and dissolved organic carbon (DOC) (R = 0.62). THg also correlated with groundwater DOC (R = 0.59). The proportion of MeHg in THg (%MeHg) was significantly correlated to temperature (R = 0.58) and MeHg (R = 0.50). Results suggest that HGM characteristics, the presence of tile drains, and the propensity for overbank flooding at a riparian site determined the extent to which stream water Hg concentrations influenced riparian groundwater Hg levels or vice versa. Differences in hydrogeomorphic characteristics between sites did not translate however in significant differences in groundwater MeHg or %MeHg. Overall, widespread Hg contamination in the most common riparian hydrogeomorphic types of the US Midwest is unlikely to be a major concern. However, for frequently flooded riparian zones located downstream from a potentially large source of Hg (e.g., concentrated urban development), Hg concentrations are likely to be higher than at other sites.
Considerations for analyzing ecological community thresholds in response to anthropogenic environmental gradients
(University of Chicago Press, 2010-09) King, Ryan S.; Baker, Matthew
The goal of this paper is to help managers better understand implications of using aggregate community metrics, such as taxon richness or Indices of Biotic Integrity (IBI), for detecting threshold responses to anthropogenic environmental gradients. To illustrate, we offer an alternative analytical approach, Threshold Indicator Taxa ANalysis (TITAN), geared toward identifying synchronous changes in the distribution of multiple taxa as evidence of an ecological community threshold. Our approach underscores the fundamental reality that which taxa are affected by stressors is important, both from a conservation standpoint and because taxon-specific life-history traits help us understand relevant mechanisms. First, we examine macroinvertebrate community response to an impervious cover gradient using a well-studied biomonitoring data set to show that representative community metrics are relatively insensitive to synchronous threshold declines of numerous individual taxa. We then reproduce these response relationships using a simulated community data set with similar properties to demonstrate that linear or wedge-shaped responses of community metrics to anthropogenic gradients can occur as an artifact of aggregating multiple taxa into a single value per sampling unit, despite strong nonlinearity in community response. Our findings do not repudiate the use of community metrics or multimetric indices, but they challenge assumptions that such metrics are capable of accurately reflecting community thresholds across a broad range of anthropogenic gradients. We recommend an alternative analysis framework that begins with characterization of the responses of individual taxa and uses aggregation only after distinguishing the magnitude, direction, and uncertainty in the responses of individual members of the community.
Spatial Considerations for Linking Watershed Land Cover to Ecological Indicators in Streams
(Wiley, 2005-02-01) King, Ryan S.; Baker, Matthew; Whigham, Dennis F.; Weller, Donald E.; Jordan, Thomas E.; Kazyak, Paul F.; Hurd, Martin K.
Watershed land cover is widely used as a predictor of stream-ecosystem condition. However, numerous spatial factors can confound the interpretation of correlative analyses between land cover and stream indicators, particularly at broad spatial scales. We used a stream-monitoring data set collected from the Coastal Plain of Maryland, USA to address analytical challenges presented by (1) collinearity of land-cover class percentages, (2) spatial autocorrelation of land cover and stream data, (3) intercorrelations among and spatial autocorrelation within abiotic intermediaries that link land cover to stream biota, and (4) spatial arrangement of land cover within watersheds. We focused on two commonly measured stream indicators, nitrate-nitrogen (NO₃–N) and macroinvertebrate assemblages, to evaluate how different spatial considerations may influence results. Partial correlation analysis of land-cover percentages revealed that simple correlations described relationships that could not be separated from the effects of other land-cover classes or relationships that changed substantially when the influences of other land-cover classes were taken into account. Partial Mantel tests showed that all land-cover percentages were spatially autocorrelated, and this spatial phenomenon accounted for much of the variation in macroinvertebrate assemblages that could naively be attributed to certain classes (e.g., percentage cropland). We extended our use of partial Mantel tests into a path-analytical framework and identified several independent pathways between percentage developed land and in-stream measurements after factoring out spatial autocorrelation and other confounding variables; however, under these conditions, percentage cropland was only linked to nitrate-N. Further analyses revealed that spatial arrangement of land cover, as measured by areal buffers and distance weighting, influenced the amount of developed land, resulting in a threshold change in macroinvertebrate-assemblage composition. Moreover, distance-weighted percentage cropland improved predictions of stream nitrate-N concentrations in small watersheds, but not in medium or large ones. Collectively, this series of analyses clarified the magnitude and critical scales of effects of different land-cover classes on Coastal Plain stream ecosystems and may serve as an analytical framework for other studies. Our results suggest that greater emphasis should be placed on these important spatial considerations; otherwise, we risk obscuring the relationships between watershed land cover and the condition of stream ecosystems.
Message 3: Watershed indicators
(ASC, 2006-02-18) Brooks, Robert P.; Easterling, Mary M.; Bishop, Joseph A.; Rubbo, Jennifer; Armstrong, Brian; Hite, Jeremy; Brinson, Mark M.; Rheinhardt, Richard; Baker, Matthew; King, Ryan; Weller, Donald E.; O’Brien, David; Havens, Kirk J.
Watershed Land Use Is Strongly Linked to PCBs in White Perch in Chesapeake Bay Subestuaries
(ACS, 2004-12-01) King, Ryan S.; Beaman, Joseph R.; Whigham, Dennis F.; Hines, Anson H.; Baker, Matthew; Weller, Donald E.
We related total PCBs (t-PCBs) in white perch (Morone americana), an abundant estuarine resident that supports a valuable recreational and commercial fishery in the mid-Atlantic region, to the amount and spatial arrangement of developed land in watersheds that discharge into 14 subestuaries of Chesapeake Bay. We considered the intensity of development in watersheds using four developed land-use measures (% impervious surface, % total developed land, % high-intensity residential + commercial [%high-res/comm], and % commercial) to represent potential source areas of PCBs to the subestuaries. We further evaluated the importance of source proximity by calculating three inverse-distance weighted (IDW) metrics of development, an approach that weighted developed land near the shoreline more heavily than developed land farther away. Unweighted percentages of each of the four measures of developed land explained 51?69% of the variance in t-PCBs. However, IDWs markedly improved the relationships between % developed land measures and t-PCBs. Percent commercial land, weighted by its simple inverse distance, explained 99% of the variance in t-PCBs, whereas the other three measures explained as much as 93?97%. PCBs historically produced or used in commercial and residential areas are apparently persisting in the environment at the scale of the watersheds and subestuaries examined in this study, and developed land close to the subestuary has the greatest unit effect on t-PCBs in fish. These findings provide compelling evidence for a strikingly strong linkage between watershed land use and t-PCBs in white perch, and this relationship may prove useful for identifying unsampled subestuaries with a high risk of PCB contamination.
Effects of stream map resolution on measures of riparian buffer distribution and nutrient retention potential
(Springer Nature, 2007-08-01) Baker, Matthew; Weller, Donald E.; Jordan, Thomas E.
Riparian ecosystems are interfaces between aquatic and terrestrial environments recognized for their nutrient interception potential in agricultural landscapes. Stream network maps from a broad range of map resolutions have been employed in watershed studies of riparian areas. However, map resolution may affect important attributes of riparian buffers, such as the connectivity between source lands and small stream channels missing in coarse resolution maps. We sought to understand the influence of changing stream map resolution on measures of the river network, near-stream land cover, and riparian metrics. Our objectives were: (1) to evaluate the influence of stream map resolution on measures of the stream network, the character and extent of near-stream zones, and riparian metrics; (2) to compare patterns of variation among different physiographic provinces; and (3) to explore how predictions of nutrient retention potential might be affected by the resolution of a stream map. We found that using fine resolution stream maps significantly increased our estimates of stream order, drainage density, and the proportion of watershed area occurring near a stream. Increasing stream map resolution reduced the mean distance to source areas as well as mean buffer width and increased the frequency of buffer gaps. Measures of percent land cover within 100 m of streams were less sensitive to stream map resolution. Overall, increasing stream map resolution led to reduced estimates of nutrient retention potential in riparian buffers. In some watersheds, switching from a coarse resolution to a fine resolution stream map completely changed our perception of a stream network from well buffered to largely unbuffered. Because previous, broad-scale analyses of riparian buffers used coarse-resolution stream maps, those studies may have overestimated landscape-level buffer prevalence and effectiveness. We present a case study of three watersheds to demonstrate that interactions among stream map resolution and land cover patterns make a dramatic difference in the perceived ability of riparian buffers to ameliorate effects of agricultural activities across whole watersheds. Moreover, stream map resolution affects inferences about whether retention occurs in streams or riparian zones.
Improved methods for quantifying potential nutrient interception by riparian buffers
(Springer Nature, 2006-11-01) Baker, Matthew; Weller, Donald E.; Jordan, Thomas E.
Efforts to quantify the effects of riparian buffers on watershed nutrient discharges have been confounded by a commonly used analysis, which estimates buffer potential as the percentage of forest or wetland within a fixed distance of streams. Effective landscape metrics must instead be developed based on a clear conceptual model and quantified at the appropriate spatial scale. We develop new metrics for riparian buffers in two stages of increasing functional specificity to ask: (1) Which riparian metrics are more distinct from measures of whole watershed land cover? (2) Do functional riparian metrics provide different information than fixed-distance metrics? (3) How do these patterns vary within and among different physiographic settings? Using publicly available geographic data, we studied 503 watersheds in four different physiographic provinces of the Chesapeake Bay Drainage. In addition to traditional fixed-distance measures, we calculated mean buffer width, gap frequency, and measures of variation in buffer width using both “unconstrained” metrics and “flow-path” metrics constrained by surface topography. There were distinct patterns of relationship between watershed and near-stream land cover in each physiographic province and strong correlations with watershed land cover confounded fixed-distance metrics. Flow-path metrics were more independent of watershed land cover than either fixed-distance or unconstrained measures, but both functional metrics provided greater detail, interpretability, and flexibility than the fixed-distance approach. Potential applications of the new metrics include exploring the potential for land cover patterns to influence water quality, accounting for buffers in statistical nutrient models, quantifying spatial patterns for process-based modeling, and targeting management actions such as buffer restoration.
Of TITAN and straw men: an appeal for greater understanding of community data
(University of Chicago Press, 2013-06) Baker, Matthew; King, Ryan S.
Cuffney and Qian (2013) performed numerous simulations to demonstrate potential flaws in Threshold Indicator Taxa Analysis (TITAN), a method for interpreting taxon contributions to community change along novel environmental gradients. Based on their simulations, they concluded that: 1) TITAN is not an effective method for detecting different types of statistical thresholds in trend lines, 2) permutation results in highly significant p-values even for splits that are not thresholds, and 3) coincident change points may arise as an artifact of inaccuracies, imprecision, and systematic bias in both change-point estimation and TITAN’s bootstrap. The critique raises some important concerns, but because of significant misunderstanding, it is based on analyses that violate basic assumptions of both TITAN and indicator species analysis (IndVal), and thus, constitutes a straw man that cannot be used to evaluate their performance. We demonstrate that the critique: 1) fundamentally misrepresents TITAN’s primary goals; 2) simulates taxon abundances based on unrealistic statistical models that fail to represent important empirical patterns present in Cuffney and Qian’s own published data sets (i.e., negative binomial distributions, frequent absences a function of the predictor); 3) tests TITAN’s ability to identify breaks in trend lines distorted by log-transformation that do not match the greatest change in the simulated response, leading to misinterpretation of expected and previously documented behavior by TITAN as errors; 4) misinterprets TITAN’s use of p-values while ignoring diagnostic indices of purity and reliability for identifying robust indicator taxa; and 5) asserts that bootstrapped change-point quantiles in TITAN are too narrow despite published results to the contrary. Last, in contrast to the claim that change-point synchrony may be an artifact of the technique, we show that: 6) analysis of published data using completely independent methods (i.e., scatterplots of abundance data or generalized additive models) also reveals synchrony in the nonlinear decline of numerous taxa in corroboration of TITAN and its underlying conceptual model. Thus, Cuffney and Qian have not identified any serious limitations of TITAN because their critique is based on misinterpretation of TITAN’s assumptions and primary objectives. However, their critique does highlight the need for clarification of the appropriate uses, potential misuses, and limitations of TITAN and other methods for ecological analysis.
A new method for detecting and interpreting biodiversity and ecological community thresholds
(Wiley, 2010-02-23) Baker, Matthew; King, Ryan S.
1. Existing methods for identifying ecological community thresholds are designed for univariate indicators or multivariate dimension-reduction of community structure. Most are insensitive to responses of individual taxa with low occurrence frequencies or highly variable abundances, properties of the vast majority of taxa in community data sets. We introduce Threshold Indicator Taxa ANalysis (TITAN) to detect changes in taxa distributions along an environmental gradient over space or time, and assess synchrony among taxa change points as evidence for community thresholds. 2. TITAN uses indicator species scores to integrate occurrence, abundance and directionality of taxa responses. It identifies the optimum value of a continuous variable, x, that partitions sample units while maximizing taxon-specific scores. Indicator z scores standardize original scores relative to the mean and SD of permuted samples along x, thereby emphasizing the relative magnitude of change and increasing the contributions of taxa with low occurrence frequencies but high sensitivity to the gradient. TITAN distinguishes negative (z?) and positive (z+) taxa responses and tracks cumulative responses of declining [sum(z?)] and increasing [sum(z+)] taxa in the community. Bootstrapping is used to estimate indicator reliability and purity as well as uncertainty around the location of individual taxa and community change points. 3. Using two simulated data sets, TITAN correctly identified taxon and community thresholds in more than 99% of 500 unique versions of each simulation. In contrast, multivariate change-point analysis did not distinguish directional taxa responses, resulting in much wider confidence intervals that in one instance failed to capture thresholds in 38% of the iterations. 4. Retrospective analysis of macroinvertebrate community response to a phosphorus gradient supported previous threshold estimates, although TITAN produced narrower confidence limits and revealed that several taxa declined at lower levels of phosphorus. Re-analysis of macroinvertebrate responses to an urbanization gradient illustrated disparate change points for declining (0·81–3·3% urban land) and increasing (6·8–26·6%) taxa, whereas the published threshold estimate (20–30%) missed the declining-taxa threshold because it could not distinguish their synchronous decline from the gradual increase in ubiquitous taxa. 5. Synthesis and applications. By deconstructing communities to assess synchrony of taxon-specific change points, TITAN provides a sensitive and precise alternative to existing methods for assessing community thresholds. TITAN has tremendous potential to inform conservation of rare or threatened species, develop species sensitivity models, identify reference conditions and to support development of numerical regulatory criteria.

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