Statistical Analysis on the Trends and Determinants of Birth Rate in the Kingdom of Saudi Arabia
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Date
2018
Department
Mathematics
Program
Master of Arts
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This item is made available by Morgan State University for personal, educational, and research purposes in accordance with Title 17 of the U.S. Copyright Law. Other uses may require permission from the copyright owner.
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Abstract
This research study addresses the trends and determinants of birth rate in the kingdom of Saudi Arabia. The measures of crude birth rate (CBR), adolescent fertility rate and total fertility rate (TFR) are used as primary issues in analyzing the birth rate. The source of data was the World Bank Database. The statistical methods which are used for analyzing the data are Pearson correlation coefficient, scatter diagram with fitted model- polynomial model, and multiple regression analysis. The variables which are considered for assessing the strength of the influence on the birth rate are: life expectancy, mortality rate under age 5, urban population, total population, gross enrollment ratio at tertiary level. The results provide a rapid decline in crude birth rate (CBR), adolescent fertility rate and total fertility rate (TFR) during the period 1978 to 2014. The rates at the latest year, 2014 are 20.14 of CBR, and 2.8 of TFR. Among the selected variables, the life expectancy, child mortality, education (gross enrollment at tertiary levels), and urban population are found to have strong association with birth rates.