The Economic Impact Of Syrian Refugees On Turkey
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Date
2018
Department
Economics
Program
Master of Arts
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This item is made available by Morgan State University for personal, educational, and research purposes in accordance with Title 17 of the U.S. Copyright Law. Other uses may require permission from the copyright owner.
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Abstract
Between 2010 and 2016, the number of Syrian refugees and migrants into Turkey was massive and daunting. However, despite these sizable and seemingly destabilising inflows, the refugees managed to interact freely within the Turkish markets. To understand the impact of these refugees on the Turkish economy, it is essential to first look to the literature. This produced mixed results. Sources suggest that, broadly, the Syrian influx had little to no effect on the employment rates and wages within Turkey. Other researchers suggest that there was a significant effect on the informal sectors, with Turkish locals ultimately becoming displaced. The effects were also said to extend to the inflation rate. This study takes a quantitative look into the effects of this particular migration on Turkey's unemployment rate, inflation rate and GDP growth rate. Moreover, the study also analyses the trends in Turkey's GDP, considering both with and without the migrant inflows. A comparative research design will be embraced in the research phase of this proposal to better analyse the effects of migration.