Forecasting Gas Usage for Big Buildings using Generalized Additive Models and Deep Learning

dc.contributor.authorPathak, Nilavra
dc.contributor.authorBa, Amadou
dc.contributor.authorPloennings, Joern
dc.contributor.authorRoy, Nirmalya
dc.date.accessioned2018-08-03T12:36:09Z
dc.date.available2018-08-03T12:36:09Z
dc.date.issued2018
dc.description4th IEEE International Conference on Smart Computing (SmartComp), 2018en_US
dc.description.abstractTime series behavior of gas consumption is highly irregular, non-stationary, and volatile due to its dependency on the weather, users’ habits and lifestyle. This complicates the modeling and forecasting of gas consumption with most of the existing time series modeling techniques, specifically when missing values and outliers are present. To demonstrate and overcome these problems, we investigate two approaches to model the gas consumption, namely Generalized Additive Models (GAM) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM). We perform our evaluations on two building datasets from two different conti-nents. We present each selected feature’s influence, the tuning parameters, and the characteristics of the gas consumption on their forecasting abilities. We compare the performances of GAM and LSTM with other state-of-the-art forecasting approaches. We show that LSTM outperforms GAM and other existing approaches, however, GAM provides better interpretable results for building management systems (BMS).en_US
dc.description.urihttp://mpsc.umbc.edu/wp-content/uploads/2018/05/smartcomp18_nilavra.pdfen_US
dc.format.extent8 pagesen_US
dc.genreconference papers and proceedings preprintsen_US
dc.identifierdoi:10.13016/M2736M54R
dc.identifier.urihttp://hdl.handle.net/11603/11040
dc.language.isoen_USen_US
dc.publisherIEEEen_US
dc.relation.isAvailableAtThe University of Maryland, Baltimore County (UMBC)
dc.relation.ispartofUMBC Information Systems Department Collection
dc.relation.ispartofUMBC Faculty Collection
dc.relation.ispartofUMBC Student Collection
dc.rightsThis item may be protected under Title 17 of the U.S. Copyright Law. It is made available by UMBC for non-commercial research and education. For permission to publish or reproduce, please contact the author.
dc.subjectgas forecastingen_US
dc.subjectdeep learningen_US
dc.subjectlong short term memoryen_US
dc.subjectgeneralized additive modelen_US
dc.subjectforecastingen_US
dc.subjectTime series behavior of gas consumption is highly irregular, non-stationary, and volatile due to its dependency on the weather, users’ habits and lifestyle. This complicates the modeling and forecasting of gas consumption with most of the existing time series modeling techniques, specifically when missing values and outliers are present. To demonstrate and overcome these problems, we investigate two approaches to model the gas consumption, namely Generalized Additive Models (GAM) and Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM). We perform our evaluations on two building datasets from two different conti-nents. We present each selected feature’s influence, the tuning parameters, and the characteristics of the gas consumption on their forecasting abilities. We compare the performances of GAM and LSTM with other state-of-the-art forecasting approaches. We show that LSTM outperforms GAM and other existing approaches, however, GAM provides better interpretable results for building management systems (BMS).en_US
dc.titleForecasting Gas Usage for Big Buildings using Generalized Additive Models and Deep Learningen_US
dc.typeTexten_US

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