A LSTM with Dual-stage Attention Method to Predict Amine Emissions for Carbon Dioxide Capture and Storage

Abstract

To mitigate climate change impacts, carbon capture technologies have been implemented at significant CO2 emission points, such as industrial sites and electric power generation facilities. Solvent-based carbon capture solutions are pivotal in reducing atmospheric CO2 levels and enhancing air quality by capturing harmful pollutants. Amine-based solvents, favored for their efficiency in post-combustion CO2 capture, are susceptible to thermal and oxidative degradation, leading to complex emissions profiles that demand comprehensive management strategies. We develop a Machine Learning model designed to predict future amine emissions in real-time, thereby assisting in the formulation of mitigation strategies required for the operation of capture plants. We conducted an experiment using data from test campaigns run at the Technology Centre Mongstad (TCM). We employed a Long Short-Term Memory (LSTM) autoencoder model with dual-stage attention mechanisms to predict amine emissions using historical data. The results were quite promising: we achieved a mean absolute percentage error ranging from 5.8% to 6.8% percent for the real-time prediction of amine emissions. The results are better than existing approaches using simpler machine learning models as well as the standard LSTM autoencoder model.